Thursday, October 2, 2008

Rays and Red Sox Increase Their Odds, Things Look Bad For Angels and White Sox

The Angels and the White Sox have basically a 1 in 4 chance of making it to the ALCS. Looks like I might not be able to spin out my long-awaited probability of the Cubs meeting the White Sox in the World Series.

The Phillies are playing right now and beating Sabathia badly. The question on the Hot Stove circuit will certainly be "Is it too many starts on 3-days rest down the stretch or is he just not a 'clutch' or capable playoff pitcher?" Last year in the playoffs, his ERA was 9.00...

ALDS H PWP A PWP Win Sweep
Angels 0.539 0.556 24% 0%
Red Sox 0.652 0.534 76% 30%
         
Rays 0.628 0.515 74% 25%
White Sox 0.644 0.441 26% 0%
         
NLDS
Cubs 0.649 0.593 42% 0%
Dodgers 0.637 0.454 58% 17%
         
Phillies 0.598 0.561 69% 24%
Brewers 0.635 0.522 31% 0%


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