Sunday, September 14, 2008

13: New Stat Retraction and Back to the Standings

I apologize for bringing out my new stat before prime-time--I need to work on it some more.

Back to the Predictive Standings, then. Anything interesting left in this season? First, what isn't interesting: Rays, Red Sox, and Angels are in the playoffs--it's just a matter of who plays who in the playoffs; Cubs are still the best in the NL and judging by tonight's no-no by the Zambino, looks like they'll be tough in the playoffs.

What is interesting:
  • White Sox or Twins? Both of these teams are literally going to fight this to the end, and possibly a one-game playoff.
  • Mets should hold off the Phillies. The only question is whether the Phillies go on a winning streak to match their record with their performance, much like last year at this time.
  • Also, Brewers vs. Phillies. The Brewers look like they're fading fast, but if they play to their overperforming level, they should still be able to win the Wild Card. If OPI says anything, it is that the Phillies are underperforming by 4 games and the Brewers are overperforming by 2 games, so this might get more interesting rather than less.
  • And in the NL West, even though the stats show LA to win, this is probably far from over with how bad the D'Backs and Dodgers have played all year. Can Torre continue the playoff run he started in New York? It certainly doesn't look like the Yankees will continue that run this year...

AL          
EAST WP P WP P W P L OPI
Tampa Bay .603 .571 97 65 5
Boston .588 .610 96 66 -4
Toronto .537 .576 87 75 -6
NY Yankees .527 .521 85 77 1
Baltimore .442 .460 72 90 -3
CENTRAL          
Chicago Sox .555 .562 90 72 -1
Minnesota .554 .569 90 72 -3
Cleveland .486 .528 79 83 -7
Detroit .479 .491 78 84 -2
Kansas City .432 .402 70 92 5
WEST          
x-LA Angels .615 .553 99 63 10
Texas .490 .463 79 83 4
Oakland .459 .467 75 87 -1
Seattle .388 .412 63 99 -4
           
NL          
EAST          
NY Mets .565 .567 92 70 0
Philadelphia .547 .573 89 73 -4
Florida .514 .481 83 79 5
Atlanta .443 .481 72 90 -6
Washington .378 .383 61 101 -1
CENTRAL          
Chicago Cubs .603 .626 98 64 -4
Milwaukee .561 .546 91 71 2
Houston .544 .495 87 75 8
St. Louis .527 .531 85 77 -1
Cincinnati .453 .433 73 89 3
Pittsburgh .419 .405 68 94 2
WEST          
LA Dodgers .520 .533 84 78 -2
Arizona .490 .505 80 82 -2
San Francisco .453 .418 73 89 6
Colorado .450 .446 73 89 1
San Diego .383 .410 62 100 -4

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